Preprint / Version 1

Largest democracy in the world crippled by COVID-19: current perspective and experience from India

Authors

  • Rahil Changotra School of Energy and Environment, Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, Patiala, 147004 India
  • Himadri Rajput School of Energy and Environment, Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, Patiala, 147004 India
  • Prachi Rajput Central Scientific Instruments Organization, Sector 30C, Chandigarh, 160030 India
  • Sneha Gautam Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore, 641114 Tamil Nadu India
  • Amarpreet Arora School of Chemical Engineering, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan, 38541 South Korea

Keywords:

Coronavirus, COVID-19, Pandemic, Public health, Trend analysis, India

Abstract

The outbreak of novel and recent coronavirus disease 2019, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, has made an emergency throughout the world. In India, the outspread of the pandemic was observed on 3 March 2020, and after that exponential growth in the cases was observed in the country. Owing to the widespread transmission, high population density, high testing capacity and ineffective treatment, a continuous rise in cases was observed due to the pandemic in India. In this paper, we have discussed the trend and spread of COVID-19 spread in India with time, history of initial confirmed cases, the impact of phased manner lockdown, age- and gender-wise trend of cases and comparison of cases with the other most affected countries. The study uses exploratory data analysis to describe the current situation of COVID-19 cases in India till 16 August 2020, with the help of data from the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India (GOI) and the World Health Organization (WHO). As of August 16, the total number of confirmed cases in India crossed 2.5 million marks with over 50,000 causalities. With more patients recovering and being discharged from hospitals and home isolation (in case of mild and moderate cases), the total recoveries have crossed the 1.8 million mark with a recovery rate of more than 70% and case fatality rate of 1.94% which is maintained below the global average and is on a continuous positive slide. The study also enlightens the preventive and stringent measures taken by India to combat the COVID-19 situation along with the future prospects. The GOI is following its proactive and preemptive approach for management, prevention and containment of COVID-19 in collaboration with the WHO. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s10668-020-00963-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Keywords: Coronavirus, COVID-19, Pandemic, Public health, Trend analysis, India

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